Biden v Ryan debate

[Ed W]

Ed W didn't exactly say it was the result of an opinion poll but he certainly left me with that impression.

It's not worth my time to investigate their claims of accuracy.  The simple yes or no option may skew some results.  Maybe not if the sample size is big enough.   If Intrade were to ask if people thought they would be killed in a car accident in the next week, would the betting come close to actual statistics? 

Red, I have to make this short and leave for work. Take a look at Nate Silver's 538 blog for his stats and methodology.  He seems to be rigorous and without bias, and if I remember right, he was largely correct in the last national elections down to the state level, and that included the House and Senate races.

Gotta go...have a fun day!