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State of The Union 2012

Started by Gaspar, January 23, 2012, 07:44:16 AM

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Conan71

"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

nathanm

#121
Quote from: Conan71 on January 25, 2012, 03:24:27 PM
Investment ostensibly creates jobs.

Ostensibly being the key word.

There is some correlation, as there obviously has to be, but investment turns more into capital gains than increased employment.

"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln

Gaspar

Um, ok.  Here's a graph of seismic activity.



I'm waiting for an AND WE'RE BACK moment.
When attacked by a mob of clowns, always go for the juggler.

nathanm

How about something germane. If you need me to translate, the graph is YoY change in percentage of the following: Red is employment, blue is investment, green is corporate profit. You could have just read it from the graph, but I don't mind being condescending when you ask for it.
"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln

Gaspar

Quote from: nathanm on January 25, 2012, 03:49:57 PM
How about something germane. If you need me to translate, the graph is YoY change in percentage of the following: Red is employment, blue is investment, green is corporate profit.

Yay!. . .or YoY I guess.

I applaud your desire to shift the topic, but your segue is a bit jagged.

I would have first rolled into an explanation of the connection between revenue, payroll taxes, and the contraction of the workforce, then moved to how that correlates to investment.  Then I would have been free to completely ignore the topic fumble.

Your graph is a fine graph.  Keep it and we will discuss it some other time, i'm sure.
When attacked by a mob of clowns, always go for the juggler.

nathanm

Quote from: Gaspar on January 25, 2012, 03:56:09 PM
Yay!. . .or YoY I guess.

I applaud your desire to shift the topic, but your segue is a bit jagged.

I was responding to Conan, which you might have noted given that I quoted him.
"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln

Teatownclown

Quote from: Conan71 on January 25, 2012, 03:24:27 PM
Investment ostensibly creates jobs.

Bain capitalism (financial capitalism) takes money out of the public. It hurts workers. Keep trying....

Conan71

Quote from: Teatownclown on January 25, 2012, 04:01:46 PM
Bain capitalism (financial capitalism) takes money out of the public. It hurts workers. Keep trying....

So we are saying investment doesn't create jobs now?  Berkshire Hathaway doesn't create jobs and hurts workers as well I take it?
"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

Teatownclown

Quote from: Conan71 on January 25, 2012, 04:07:30 PM
So we are saying investment doesn't create jobs now?  Berkshire Hathaway doesn't create jobs and hurts workers as well I take it?

Berkshire does not represent financial capitalism. REAL capitalism is not government welfare for the rich....

Warren does not churn he creates jobs by enhancing value through productivity and efficiency in economies of scale. You do not see Warren buying, cutting, feeing and spinning his companies off to capture a profit.

Keep trying...

nathanm

Quote from: Conan71 on January 25, 2012, 04:07:30 PM
So we are saying investment doesn't create jobs now?  Berkshire Hathaway doesn't create jobs and hurts workers as well I take it?

If that's what TTC was trying to claim, TTC is wrong. Investment clearly can and does create jobs. If it didn't, the economy would never work. However, past a certain point, larger investment appears to only create larger corporate profits. I presume, but do not have the data at hand to support the presumption, that is because much of the so-called investment is actually speculation in the stock market.
"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln

Teatownclown

Quote from: nathanm on January 25, 2012, 04:13:48 PM
If that's what TTC was trying to claim, TTC is wrong. Investment clearly can and does create jobs. If it didn't, the economy would never work. However, past a certain point, larger investment appears to only create larger corporate profits. I presume, but do not have the data at hand to support the presumption, that is because much of the so-called investment is actually speculation in the stock market.

I am not wrong! And definitely not right! >:(

Conan71

Quote from: nathanm on January 25, 2012, 04:13:48 PM
If that's what TTC was trying to claim, TTC is wrong. Investment clearly can and does create jobs. If it didn't, the economy would never work. However, past a certain point, larger investment appears to only create larger corporate profits. I presume, but do not have the data at hand to support the presumption, that is because much of the so-called investment is actually speculation in the stock market.

And in good economic times, companies usually will plough large profits back into the company and create more jobs.  As we've seen during uncertain times, they are piling up cash rather than reinvesting.  Survival instinct.
"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

Conan71

Quote from: Teatownclown on January 25, 2012, 04:13:25 PM
Berkshire does not represent financial capitalism. REAL capitalism is not government welfare for the rich....

Warren does not churn he creates jobs by enhancing value through productivity and efficiency in economies of scale. You do not see Warren buying, cutting, feeing and spinning his companies off to capture a profit.

Keep trying...

You make it sound as if all Bain does is dismantle companies and sell off the pieces for profit.  That's not an accurate representation from someone who purports to being a truth teller.  Secondly, why did you bring up Bain in the first place?  We were talking about investment creating jobs.  I never mentioned Bain.
"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

Teatownclown

Quote from: Conan71 on January 25, 2012, 04:16:38 PM
And in good economic times, companies usually will plough large profits back into the company and create more jobs.  As we've seen during uncertain times, they are piling up cash rather than reinvesting.  Survival instinct.

Wrong again. Warren would be plowing money into potential if he sees some. Problem is the lack of confidence. He doesn't need survival instinct. You'd wake up one morning to see Berkshire bought a company only to say to yourself, "wow, why didn't I see that?"

Bain capitalism is financial capitalism....obviously.

nathanm

The chart clearly shows that large profits don't create job growth in proportion no matter whether the economy is in recession or expansion. Profits are correlated with job growth, as is investment, but they are nowhere near the same magnitude. Purely from a fiscal standpoint, reducing capital gains rates to stimulate corporate profit is not the way to create jobs.

FRED is easy to use, you might want to give it a try.
"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln