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Electoral College results guessing game

Started by RecycleMichael, October 23, 2012, 12:32:48 PM

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RecycleMichael

Can we have a thread that is only guesses about the results and absent of commentary? I doubt it.

I want to have each of us make a guess of the final outcome of the Electoral College for the 2012 presidential election. Guesses must be in before midnight on Monday November 5th. Winner gets choice of a six pack of Marshall's beer or a free lunch at choice of downtown restaurant.

My guess:
Obama 294
Romney 244
Power is nothing till you use it.

dioscorides

I am going out on a limb, and guessing that Obama takes Virginia.

Obama 303
Romney 235
There is an ancient Celtic axiom that says 'Good people drink good beer.' Which is true, then as now. Just look around you in any public barroom and you will quickly see: bad people drink bad beer. Think about it. - Hunter S. Thompson

nathanm

I think the state level trends over the past few days are favorable to Obama, but I'm sticking with my earlier 290 forecast. I wouldn't be shocked to see 300-330, but I don't think it's likely Obama hold Virginia and flips Florida back, even given the numbers in the snap polls last night, which were very favorable among Hispanic voters and women.

While Romney still has an outside chance, I think his window of opportunity is closing fast. Opinion just seems very hard to shift lately, and present polling has Obama winning.

So:

Obama 290
Romney 248
"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln

carltonplace

Obama: 281
Romney: 257

I'm giving VA to Republicans.

Conan71

Quote from: carltonplace on October 23, 2012, 03:54:21 PM

I'm giving VA to Republicans.

How nice of you.  Can we have a unicorn too?  Please?
"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

heironymouspasparagus

314  Obama
256  Romney

Maybe;
315 Obama
255 Romney

"So he brandished a gun, never shot anyone or anything right?"  --TeeDub, 17 Feb 2018.

I don't share my thoughts because I think it will change the minds of people who think differently.  I share my thoughts to show the people who already think like me that they are not alone.

nathanm

Quote from: Conan71 on October 23, 2012, 04:14:21 PM
How nice of you.  Can we have a unicorn too?  Please?

Only if Romney wins Ohio and Wisconsin.
"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln

Hoss

Quote from: Conan71 on October 23, 2012, 04:14:21 PM
How nice of you.  Can we have a unicorn too?  Please?

I thought you were Independent?

:o

heironymouspasparagus

I want a unicorn!!


Or at least a Clydesale...start of my own beer company....
"So he brandished a gun, never shot anyone or anything right?"  --TeeDub, 17 Feb 2018.

I don't share my thoughts because I think it will change the minds of people who think differently.  I share my thoughts to show the people who already think like me that they are not alone.

RecycleMichael

I knew that there was no chance to keep this thread all guesses. Oh well.
Power is nothing till you use it.

Teatownclown

I have said 311 for BamBam.... I don't really care how few RMoney gets....

heironymouspasparagus

Quote from: RecycleMichael on October 23, 2012, 08:12:28 PM
I knew that there was no chance to keep this thread all guesses. Oh well.


Still at;
315 Obama
255 Romney

I made guesses....two of them!  And I was serious about them.  (OMG!!...do you realize just how hard it is not to commentary?)

"So he brandished a gun, never shot anyone or anything right?"  --TeeDub, 17 Feb 2018.

I don't share my thoughts because I think it will change the minds of people who think differently.  I share my thoughts to show the people who already think like me that they are not alone.

carltonplace

Quote from: Conan71 on October 23, 2012, 04:14:21 PM
How nice of you.  Can we have a unicorn too?  Please?

Colorado is as good as a unicorn

Conan71

"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

RecycleMichael

Power is nothing till you use it.