Hillary and Obama...where from here?

[RecycleMichael]

I think it is very exciting and while I have my favorite, I am still cheering for both candidates to really win over America.

I am in DC on business today and have been watching the commercials from both candidates. The primary is here tomorrow.

The best campaign is going to win this, but maybe not the best candidate.

Obama wins all three tomorrow, and everyone thinks that it is over. Wait...Hillary is coming back to win Wisconsin, Texas and Ohio.

[FOTD]

We will see about Ohio....

[pmcalk]

Wisconsin will be interesting to see.  On the one hand, it's biggest city, Milwaukee, tends to be more blue collar/average income & education, which leans towards Clinton.  On the other hand, it is practically a suburb of Chicago--some even commute back and forth.  I wouldn't be surprised if you see many from Milwaukee swayed to Obama for that reason.  Madison, the other big city, is a college town, and highly educated, which will give Obama the edge.  If Obama can win Milwaukee based upon its proximity to Chicago, he'll win the state.

If he wins Wisconsin, it will be very difficult for Clinton to succeed.  If he loses, it will be important for Obama to win at least one of the Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania primaries.

I suspect Obama will win Hawaii on the same day as Wisconsin.

[cannon_fodder]

I haven't seen any new numbers for Wisc., Ohio or Penn for a few weeks (December for Wisc!).  They had Clinton with a good edge then, but much has changed.  

Today Obama sweeps (I look forward to his speech, I'm just impressed with his oration).

I think Clinton wins Ohio (she polled very, very well there) and Obama takes Wisconsin (he was close in the polls in December + reasons above).  Obama probably takes Hawaii since it is a varied demographic state - which seems to favor him.

Down the road Penn looks good for Hillary, but the numbers there are so old and the vote still months away so who the heck knows!
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On a side note, I'm starting to think Oklahoma should move it's primary BACK.  Stuck in the middle we get little attention, I wonder if we'd get more if we bumped it back.  Well, I know we would this year in a close race.  Imagine being the last state if we held the race in our hand$ ($ is for money spent in Oklahoma:).

[guido911]

For you pro-Hillary and McCain folks viewing pleasure:

http://hotair.com/archives/2008/02/11/hannity-to-pro-obama-focus-group-name-one-accomplishment-take-two/

[pmcalk]

quote:Originally posted by cannon_fodder

Obama probably takes Hawaii since it is a varied demographic state - which seems to favor him.

If you didn't know, Obama was born in Hawaii, so I am sure he'll win there.  Talk about firsts--to think, we might have our first Hawain president.

[we vs us]

CNN thinks Obama won all three of the Potomac contests.  Which supposedly puts him over Hillary's count for the first time.  

Goodness.

[pmcalk]

Not only did he win the potomac primaries, he won them big.  Virginia--he won by 64%.  According to exit polls, he won all demographics--young, old, rich, poor, black white.  His rally in Madison was packed.  I think he has a good shot at Wisconsin.