How many electoral college votes will Obama get?

[RecycleMichael]

Bush got 271 against Gore and 286 against Kerry.
Clinton got 370 against Daddy Bush and 379 against Dole.
First Bush got 426 against Dukakis.
Reagan got 489 against Carter and 525 against Mondale.

Here is a great website that shows the history.
http://www.100bestwebsites.org/alt/evmaps/electoral-maps.htm

I think Obama will get somewhere in the 370s...about what Clinton got.

[Ed W]

Fivethirtyeight.com has a graph showing most predictions clustering around 380, Michael.

Then yesterday, I came across this UK piece:

http://www.alternet.org/election08/104705/republican_fears_of_an_obama_landslide_victory_unleash_civil_war_within_the_party/

Aides to George W.Bush, former Reagan White House staff and friends of John McCain have all told The Sunday Telegraph that they not only expect to lose on November 4, but also believe that Mr Obama is poised to win a crushing mandate.

They believe he will be powerful enough to remake the American political landscape with even more ease than Ronald Reagan did in 1980.

The prospect of an electoral rout has unleashed a bitter bout of recriminations both within the McCain campaign and the wider conservative movement, over who is to blame and what should be done to salvage the party's future.

...Their fear is that Democrat candidates riding on Mr Obama's popularity may win the nine extra seats they need in the Senate to give them unfettered power in Congress.

If the Democrat majority in the Senate is big enough - at least 60 seats to 40 - the Republicans will be unable to block legislation by use of a traditional filibuster - talking until legislation runs out of time. No president has had the support of such a majority since Jimmy Carter won the 1976 election.

...

There's a lot more and it's worth taking the time to read.

[Nik]

I mapped out my guess on 270towin.com

O: 353
M: 185

[pmcalk]

^^Good map, but I would throw in Missouri, bringing it up to 364.  If he gets North Carolina, that will be a huge deal.

[Red Arrow]

quote:Originally posted by Ed W
No president has had the support of such a majority since Jimmy Carter won the 1976 election.

My favorite 4 years. No inflation. All the Middle east loved us.  Life couldn't have been better.

[mrburns918]

quote:Originally posted by Red Arrow

quote:Originally posted by Ed W
No president has had the support of such a majority since Jimmy Carter won the 1976 election.

My favorite 4 years. No inflation. All the Middle east loved us.  Life couldn't have been better.

"I remember the good ole days when gas was just a $1.00 per gallon and all we cared about was a stain on a blue dress."

Mr. Burns
Bob Barr for President