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2012 Political Predictions

Started by Teatownclown, January 02, 2012, 03:07:25 PM

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Hoss

Quote from: AquaMan on August 20, 2012, 12:55:15 PM
I forget...is this the guy who swims naked in public areas?? Or the one who thinks raped women can't get pregnant??

That.

AquaMan

onward...through the fog

Townsend

Apparently Akin's on the House Science and Technology Committee.  That seems to be working out.

Conan71

Claire McCaskill should borrow a line from the Sullivan campaign:

"That Todd Akin, he's got the stupid in him!"
"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

Hoss

Quote from: Conan71 on August 20, 2012, 02:41:15 PM
Claire McCaskill should borrow a line from the Sullivan campaign:

"That Todd Akin, he's got the stupid in him!"

Niiice!

RecycleMichael

Akin is ahead in the polls (before the comment). SurveyUSA polling from a week ago had him up 51 to 40 and Rasmussen from the same period had him up 47 to 43.

Can one stupid comment cost him the election?

New polling data should come out in a week...
Power is nothing till you use it.

Townsend

Quote from: RecycleMichael on August 20, 2012, 02:55:13 PM
Akin is ahead in the polls (before the comment). SurveyUSA polling from a week ago had him up 51 to 40 and Rasmussen from the same period had him up 47 to 43.

Can one stupid comment cost him the election?


He's got his party backing away from him.  Yes.

Conan71

Quote from: Townsend on August 20, 2012, 03:02:14 PM
He's got his party backing away from him.  Yes.

No, they aren't backing away, they are treating him like kryptonite.
"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

Townsend

Quote from: Conan71 on August 20, 2012, 03:05:54 PM
No, they aren't backing away, they are treating him like kryptonite.

Smeared in poo.

JCnOwasso

Quote from: RecycleMichael on August 20, 2012, 02:55:13 PM
Akin is ahead in the polls (before the comment). SurveyUSA polling from a week ago had him up 51 to 40 and Rasmussen from the same period had him up 47 to 43.

Can one stupid comment cost him the election?

New polling data should come out in a week...

Howard Dean would like to respond to this... "Yeeeeeaaaaahhhhhhh!!!!!!"
 

Townsend

Quote from: JCnOwasso on August 20, 2012, 03:16:07 PM
Howard Dean would like to respond to this... "Yeeeeeaaaaahhhhhhh!!!!!!"

In an NPR interview he said he was attempting to say "booyah".

Didn't seem to work out too well for him.

He was bitter.

heironymouspasparagus

Quote from: RecycleMichael on August 20, 2012, 02:55:13 PM
Akin is ahead in the polls (before the comment). SurveyUSA polling from a week ago had him up 51 to 40 and Rasmussen from the same period had him up 47 to 43.

Can one stupid comment cost him the election?

New polling data should come out in a week...


One can only hope...

Missouri has just GOT to be so proud!!!

"So he brandished a gun, never shot anyone or anything right?"  --TeeDub, 17 Feb 2018.

I don't share my thoughts because I think it will change the minds of people who think differently.  I share my thoughts to show the people who already think like me that they are not alone.

nathanm

Quote from: RecycleMichael on August 20, 2012, 02:55:13 PM
Can one stupid comment cost him the election?

Looking to the past to answer this question, Nate Silver found that it generally costs about 10% when a politician says something so dramatically idiotic. Given that adjustment, I would say it there's a darn good chance it will indeed cost him the election, and a fair to middling chance it'll cost the Republicans control of the Senate.
"Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration" --Abraham Lincoln

heironymouspasparagus

Quote from: nathanm on August 20, 2012, 11:41:35 PM
Looking to the past to answer this question, Nate Silver found that it generally costs about 10% when a politician says something so dramatically idiotic. Given that adjustment, I would say it there's a darn good chance it will indeed cost him the election, and a fair to middling chance it'll cost the Republicans control of the Senate.


But on second thought....we keep electing Inhofe.  And Keating was elected twice, in spite of his specific expressed desire to kill teachers... so, I guess we got no room to talk...

"So he brandished a gun, never shot anyone or anything right?"  --TeeDub, 17 Feb 2018.

I don't share my thoughts because I think it will change the minds of people who think differently.  I share my thoughts to show the people who already think like me that they are not alone.

Red Arrow

Quote from: heironymouspasparagus on August 20, 2012, 11:52:13 PM
But on second thought....we keep electing Inhofe.  And Keating was elected twice, in spite of his specific expressed desire to kill teachers... so, I guess we got no room to talk...

As long as you want to bring that up...again,  I'll bring up (again) that it's a shame that the Democrats cannot put up anyone better for election. (Or they would have been elected.)