2012 Political Predictions

[Teatownclown]

Steve Wynn's another megalomaniac.... mobsters and shicksters.  

What's with the Republijerks? Can't they do better than Vegas dweebs and old coots?

Even clowns would be better criers....

[guido911]

Ouch.

6:11PM EDT October 15. 2012 - WASHINGTON — Mitt Romney leads President Obama by four percentage points among likely voters in the nation's top battlegrounds, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, and he has growing enthusiasm among women to thank.

As the presidential campaign heads into its final weeks, the survey of voters in 12 crucial swing states finds female voters much more engaged in the election and increasingly concerned about the deficit and debt issues that favor Romney. The Republican nominee now ties the president among women who are likely voters, 48%-48%, while he leads by 12 points among men.

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/10/15/oh-my-gallup-shows-romney-leading-by-five-in-swing-states/#comments

[guido911]

And there is this to make the left happy. Never ending blaming coming to an end and candidate substance is coming to the fore. Oh wait, did I say that was going to make the left "happy"?

Was it the blame-gaming — "Bush did it!," ATMs are at fault, tsunamis are the culprit, no other administration has had such challenges, the euro meltdown is to blame, earthquakes shook our confidence — that finally turned the country off of Obama?

For the last two years, millions of Americans have grown, ever so insidiously, tired of Barack Obama and his administration. The Tea Party brought such frustrations to the fore. And now the debates — and the ability of Romney to show millions that he is a decent, competent alternative to Obama rather than the caricatured greedy white man of Obama's sleazy ads — are closing the deal.

In the first debate, Romney was not just far better-informed and spoken, but far more likeable. Joe Biden's frenzied rudeness was the sort of debate performance that mesmerizes one by its very boorishness, eliciting a weird reaction in the room like "Come over and check this out: I can't believe the Vice president of the United States is trumping The Joker" (after all, the sick Joker is more entertaining that the sober and judicious Batman) — but within hours leaves a bitter aftertaste in the mouth of something along the lines of "Surely, we could have done better than that rude buffoon?"

The election is not over, but it is starting to resemble October 29 or November 1 in 1980, when, after just one debate, the nation at last decided that it really did not like Jimmy Carter very much or what he had done, and discovered that Ronald Reagan was not the mad Dr. Strangelove/Jefferson Davis of the Carter summer television ads. Like Carter, Obama both has no wish to defend his record (who would?) and is just as petulant. In the next three weeks, he has only three hours left to save his presidency.

http://pjmedia.com/victordavishanson/the-obama-breaking-point/?singlepage=true

[nathanm]

That analysis is about a week late.

[guido911]

More ouch...

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx


For those insufferable braggarts that were pulling a shroud over Romney just a few weeks ago. Maybe this surge is just an "etch-a-sketch" from the pollsters following the debate. 

[Hoss]

More ouch...

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

Not so much

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com

[Conan71]

Not so much

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com

Next, the news media, having "called" the first debate for Mr. Romney, might be inclined to do the opposite in this case — fairly or not.

I'm sure Chris Matthews already has his slobbering Obama victory script written.

[Gaspar]

I'm sure Chris Matthews already has his slobbering Obama victory script written.

But will he be able to keep his hand out of his pants?

[Teatownclown]

I'm sure Chris Matthews already has his slobbering Obama victory script written.

You don't have Keith Olbermann to kick around anymore?

[Gaspar]

You don't have Keith Olbermann to kick around anymore?

He did a fine job of kicking himself out of a job. 

[Conan71]

He did a fine job of kicking himself out of a job. 

Ba-ZIIIIIIIING!

[nathanm]

For those insufferable braggarts that were pulling a shroud over Romney just a few weeks ago. Maybe this surge is just an "etch-a-sketch" from the pollsters following the debate. 

Sorry, the state level polling has been good news for Obama for the last four or five days now. The only disappointing poll in that respect was one that wasn't released until it was a week old.

[guido911]

Sorry, the state level polling has been good news for Obama for the last four or five days now. The only disappointing poll in that respect was one that wasn't released until it was a week old.

You're right, Obama has been taking a good poling over the past few weeks.

[Conan71]

Sorry, the state level polling has been good news for Obama for the last four or five days now. The only disappointing poll in that respect was one that wasn't released until it was a week old.

If Obama loses, I can't wait to hear your Weds. morning quarterbacking.  It will be entertaining.

[Oil Capital]

Sorry, the state level polling has been good news for Obama for the last four or five days now. The only disappointing poll in that respect was one that wasn't released until it was a week old.

Today
New Hampshire: Romney vs. Obama   Suffolk/7News   Obama 47, Romney 47   Tie

Pennsylvania: Romney vs. Obama   Quinnipiac   Obama 50, Romney 46   Obama +4

Colorado: Romney vs. Obama   WeAskAmerica   Romney 48, Obama 47   Romney +1

Iowa: Romney vs. Obama   WeAskAmerica   Obama 49, Romney 46   Obama +3

New Jersey: Romney vs. Obama   Quinnipiac   Obama 51, Romney 43   Obama +8

Monday
Pennsylvania: Romney vs. Obama   Morning Call   Obama 49, Romney 45   Obama +4

Iowa: Romney vs. Obama   ARG   Obama 48, Romney 48   Tie

Virginia: Romney vs. Obama   ARG   Obama 47, Romney 48   Romney +1

Colorado: Romney vs. Obama   Gravis Marketing   Romney 46, Obama 48   Obama +2

Florida: Romney vs. Obama   Gravis Marketing   Romney 49, Obama 48   Romney +1

Pennsylvania: Romney vs. Obama   PPP (D)   Obama 51, Romney 44   Obama +7

North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama   PPP (D)   Romney 49, Obama 47   Romney +2

Missouri: Romney vs. Obama   Wenzel Strategies (R)   Romney 55, Obama 41   Romney +14

Sunday
Florida: Romney vs. Obama   PPP (D)   Romney 49, Obama 48   Romney +1

New Mexico: Romney vs. Obama   Albuquerque Journal*   Obama 49, Romney 39   Obama +10

Georgia: Romney vs. Obama   Atlanta Journal-Constitution   Romney 51, Obama 43   Romney +8

Idaho: Romney vs. Obama   Mason-Dixon   Romney 63, Obama 27   Romney +36

Saturday
Ohio: Romney vs. Obama   PPP (D)   Obama 51, Romney 46   Obama +5

Minnesota: Romney vs. Obama   NMB Research/AFF (R)   Obama 47, Romney 43   Obama +4

Arizona: Romney vs. Obama   Behavior Research Center*   Romney 42, Obama 44   Obama +2

Friday
Virginia: Romney vs. Obama   Rasmussen Reports   Obama 47, Romney 49   Romney +2

New Hampshire: Romney vs. Obama   ARG   Obama 46, Romney 50   Romney +4

Colorado: Romney vs. Obama   Denver Post/SurveyUSA   Romney 48, Obama 47   Romney +1

Florida: Romney vs. Obama   Rasmussen Reports   Romney 51, Obama 47   Romney +4

Florida: Romney vs. Obama   ARG   Romney 49, Obama 46   Romney +3

Michigan: Romney vs. Obama   Rasmussen Reports   Obama 52, Romney 45   Obama +7

Out of that whole list, there are about 4 that could arguably be called good news for Obama.