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Let us predict the U.S. Senate

Started by RecycleMichael, October 22, 2014, 06:53:24 PM

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heironymouspasparagus

Quote from: Hoss on November 04, 2014, 10:39:53 AM
But now that Monica is back in the limelight, I would look for the GOP to roll that out.  They've already started to a little.


She had 14 minutes, 30 seconds of fame many years ago.  She has about 30 seconds of fame left...
"So he brandished a gun, never shot anyone or anything right?"  --TeeDub, 17 Feb 2018.

I don't share my thoughts because I think it will change the minds of people who think differently.  I share my thoughts to show the people who already think like me that they are not alone.

Red Arrow

Quote from: Conan71 on November 04, 2014, 10:04:00 AM
#55 at 7:50 am at my precinct.  Seemed like a pretty good turn-out so far in my neck of the woods.  I'm going to try and hit seven more by the end of the day.

Slacker!

;D
 

Townsend

Quote from: rebound on November 04, 2014, 10:29:59 AM
Honestly,  assuming Hillary runs, the only intellectually interesting piece of 2016 is going to be the GOP primaries.  How does the GOP counter her? 

Her age and affiliation with the current administration.

rebound

Quote from: Townsend on November 04, 2014, 12:10:14 PM
Her age and affiliation with the current administration.

Age is legitimate.  I had the same concerns about McCain.  (But I would probably have voted for McCain, except for his  forced choice of VP...)

No doubt the GOP will try to use the current administration against her, but I think just about everyone knows how much the Clinton and Obama camps don't like each other.  Watch for Hillary to grow increasingly strident in her criticism of Obama as the race goes on.  Having no real challenger in the primaries works to her advantage on this, as she doesn't have to go heavy-negative on Obama until late in the stretch run.

But again,  I can see multiple topics that will be tried against her, but they've all been beaten to death by now.  Bengahzi is about the only new-ish issue, and even that has been pummeled so hard that I can't see that doing anything besides playing to the GOP base, which wasn't going to vote for here anyway.

I'm not saying she will win, as it's a long way off.  Just that I don't think it is going to be a particularly fun or interesting race.
 

sauerkraut

I'm also hoping that Joy will win over Cox, I understand it's a tight race, Joy is just a few points ahead. This election should really be a GOP landslide nation wide, we all have seen and lived thru  what 6 years of Obama did to our country. Let's hope we can get the Keystone Pipeline going with a republican congress and stop Obama's amnesty plan cold. :)
Proud Global  Warming Deiner! Earth Is Getting Colder NOT Warmer!

Hoss

This might be the funniest photobomb you'll see all day.


guido911

Quote from: Hoss on November 04, 2014, 02:07:05 PM
This might be the funniest photobomb you'll see all day.



Is this one legit?

Mo. Gov. Jay Nixon.

Someone get Hoss a pacifier.

Red Arrow

Quote from: Conan71 on November 04, 2014, 10:04:00 AM
#55 at 7:50 am at my precinct.  Seemed like a pretty good turn-out so far in my neck of the woods. 


#617 at about 5PM.  The workers said it had been fairly busy even in the AM.
 

guido911

It's over. Time to move on. But, there is this:

Someone get Hoss a pacifier.

Gaspar

The president can now return to the links.
When attacked by a mob of clowns, always go for the juggler.

Conan71

Nate Silver had an interesting article this morning showing in spite of the outcome, the polls had a Democrat bias:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/





"It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first" -Ronald Reagan

YoungTulsan

So, having the historical numbers from the last 25 years kind of answers the question of whether or not the polls are "biased" as in intentionally rigged.
I'd say the historical data leads to No, they arent.

What it shows is how much voter's enthusiasm on voting day affects turnout.  The "bias" comes from the voter apathy on the side that believes it is going to be defeated.   You had stories coming out the day before the election saying "Republicans have 95% odds of taking the Senate", and even Nate Silver had it at 3 out of 4 yesterday morning.

Projected apathy is probably something the pollsters need to add to their algorithm to get a more accurate prediction of the results, if accuracy is their goal.  But that is probably a very volatile element, which can gain momentum quickly, hence it leave polls looking like they were extremely biased.
 

guido911

Someone get Hoss a pacifier.

sauerkraut

The voters do NOT want compromise with Obama, they want Obama and his policies stopped. if the voters wanted compromise and more of this Obama stuff they would of voted in all democrats. This sends a clear message to Washington.
Proud Global  Warming Deiner! Earth Is Getting Colder NOT Warmer!

guido911

Quote from: sauerkraut on November 06, 2014, 01:22:52 PM
The voters do NOT want compromise with Obama, they want Obama and his policies stopped. if the voters wanted compromise and more of this Obama stuff they would of voted in all democrats. This sends a clear message to Washington.

Wow. Straight mainlining Rush now?
Someone get Hoss a pacifier.